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22st Annual OLC International Conference
November 16-18, 2016 | Orlando, Florida | Walt Disney World Swan/Dolphin Resort

OLC Innovate 2016 - Innovations in Blended and Online Learning
April 20-22, 2016 | New Orleans, LA | Sheraton New Orleans Hotel

Student Success by the Numbers: Predicting Risk and Tracking Intervention Effectiveness

Sandy Daston (PAR Framework, USA)
Karen Swan (University of Illinois Springfield, USA)
Scott James (PAR Framework, USA)
Ellen D Wagner (PAR Framework, USA)
Additional Authors
Bill Bloemer (University of Illinois Springfield, USA)
Session Information
October 14, 2015 - 8:30am
Institutional Strategies & Innovations
Major Emphasis of Presentation: 
Research Study
Major Emphasis of Presentation: 
Theory/Conceptual Framework
Institutional Level: 
Universities and Four Year Institutions
Audience Level: 
Session Type: 
Pre-Conference Workshop
Asia 1
Session Duration: 
3 Hours
Pre-Conference Workshop Session 3

There is a fee for this Pre-Conference Workshop: $195 Early Bird / $225 Full Price / $250 Onsite Price

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Participants will link predictions of student risk with interventions that mitigate risk. Institutions can quit guessing about what works when it comes to student success

Extended Abstract

This workshop will give participants a basic understanding how to use analytics to identify and target at-risk students, and to apply a practical/actionable framework to classify interventions to link attributes of student risk with interventions to mitigate those risks. Participants will learn about approaches for measuring intervention impact in a variety of higher ed setting, and leave with applicable, actionable tools to utilize their campus. This workshop will share how a variety of post-secondary institutions have used predictive analytics to find students at risk and to explore the efficacy of student success initiatives that link predictions of risks with interventions designed to mitigate identified risks. Participants will be encouraged to use PAR case studies to gain a better understanding of what big data and predictive analytics are, how they work, and how they can be used to move beyond making simple prediction abut who is at risk, to testing interventions to see which ones work best under varying conditions and with different populations.

Lead Presenter
Sandy DastonCassandra (Sandy) Daston is PAR Framework’s Director of Student Success Services. She has been with PAR since its beginning May 2011, serving initially as Project Manager. She has supported the development of PAR Student Success Matrix (SSMX) since its inception in 2012 and is responsible for coordinating efforts that link PAR’s predictive models with local interventions to improve student success. Sandy also has a leading role in developing PAR’s Benchmark Reports. Sandy has over 20 years of experience in program development and implementation, project management, and research and data analysis in the fields of market research, public health, and health behavior change. Prior to joining PAR, she worked with four major global market research companies, contributed to several National Institutes of Health research and program development endeavors, and assisted the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services in developing online tools to assess the health of community, worksite, school and childcare environments. Sandy has contributed to numerous research projects, including study design, implementation and the writing of final publications. Sandy holds a Master’s degree from the University of Maryland and currently resides in Chapel Hill, NC.
Karen SwanKaren Swan is the James J. Stukel Distinguished Professor of Educational Leadership and a Research Associate in the Center for Online Learning, Research, & Service (COLRS) at the University of Illinois Springfield. Karen’s research has been in the general area of electronic media and learning for the 25 years since she received her doctorate from Teachers College, Columbia University. Her current research interests center on online learning Karen has authored over 125 journal articles and book chapters, produced several hypermedia programs, and co-edited two books on educational technology topics. She has directed projects funded by the National Science Foundation, the US Department of Education and the New York City Board of Education, as well as several corporate foundations, and is currently involved in WCET’s Predictive Analytics Reporting Project and ACE’s MOOCs as Game Changers Projects. Karen is the Special Issues Editor for the Journal of Educational Computing Research, and serves on the review boards and/or steering committees for many educational technology journals and conferences, and is the Chair of the American Educational Research Association’s Special Interest Group on Online Teaching and Learning. She is on the OLC Board of Directors and the steering committees for the Blended Learning and Online Learning conferences. Karen was awarded the OLC award for Most Outstanding Achievement in Online Learning by an Individual in 2006 and was inducted into the inaugural group of OLC Fellows in 2010. In 2010 she also was given the Distinguished Alumni award by her alma mater.
Scott JamesScott James is a Data Scientist with a strong interest in utilizing analytics and statistical methodologies to enhance decision making and drive policy changes in higher education. Scott’s work for PAR Framework primarily involves building predictive models, evaluating and measuring interventions, developing visual representations of data, and investigating broader research questions. Scott holds both a Bachelor of Science in Statistics and a Master of Science in Advanced Analytics from NC State University. During his time at NC State, Scott led analytics projects for the USEPA and the Baltimore Ravens football team.
Ellen WagnerEllen Wagner is Chief Strategy Officer of the Predictive Analytics Reporting Framework (http://parframework.org) and continues as Partner and senior analyst with Sage Road Solutions LLC. She served on retainer as the executive director of the Western Interstate Commission for HIgher Education's Cooperative for Educational Technologies (WCET) from 2009-2013. She is the former senior director of worldwide eLearning, Adobe Systems, Inc. and was senior director of worldwide education solutions for Macromedia, Inc. Prior to working in software solutions marketing and product development, Ellen was Chief Learning Officer and Director of Education for Viviance new education, AG, a multinational, Swiss-based elearning company. Before joining the private sector, Ellen was a tenured professor and Chair of the Educational Technology program at the University of Northern Colorado, and held a number of administrative posts, including Director of the Western Institute for Distance Education and Coordinator of Campus Instructional and Research Technologies, Academic Affairs. Her Ph.D. in learning psychology comes from the University of Colorado - Boulder. Her M.S. and B.A. degrees were earned at the University of Wisconsin - Madison.